REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Seino Holdings
Research evidence excerpt
Seino Holdings
Global Markets Research
19 June 2026Seino Holdings
9076.T 9076 JP / EQUITY: JAPAN TRANSPORTATION
RatingStable profit growth via price hikes Remains Neutral
Target price
Solid share price performance reflects DOE benchmark of 4% and stable Increased from 2,500 JPY 2,600
profit growth via ease of cost pass-throughs
Closing price JPY 2,648.5We retain Neutral rating, stock warrants attention for defensive nature 18 June 2026
We maintain our Neutral rating on Seino Holdings and update our earnings forecasts. The
Implied upside -1.8%company is strong in B2B logistics and is involved in particular in long-distance
transportation and heavy-duty cargoes that other companies find difficult. This gives it
strong price negotiation power, making it easy for it to hikes prices by more than needed
to pass on cost increases. Transportation volumes have been sluggish, as they are
Relative performance chartaffected by production and consumption in Japan, but we still expect ongoing modest
profit growth driven by price hikes and logistics services other than trucking. We obtain our
new target price of ¥2,600 using a P/E of around 18x our 27/3 EPS forecast, a discount of
just over 10%, as before, to the Russell/Nomura Large Cap (ex financials) average of
around 21x. The stock has greater defensive characteristics than other trucking
companies as it is more resilient to inflation and also has a high level of shareholder
returns, with a DOE benchmark of 4%, and we think it could well attract more attention
during equity market corrections.
We forecast 27/3 operating profits of ¥39.5bn
Seino Holdings is guiding for 27/3 operating profits of ¥41.4bn (up 10% y-y), including
¥31.8bn (up 16%) at the mainstay transportation services segment. It is assuming a 1.5%
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