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On the Launch Radar: Physician Insights on IONS’ Tryngolza sHTG- quotes & transcript
Research evidence excerpt
On the Launch Radar: Physician Insights on IONS’ Tryngolza sHTG- quotes & transcript
sHTG market opportunity? Well, I thought I’d just outline some of the quick debates that
we have with investors regarding this category build and opportunity.
The bull case is that sHTG can be a large market, aka TAM, with a big unmet need for
better TG, or triglyceride lowering therapies, that the APO-C3 class has shown an
unprecedented TG lowering, and that Tryngolza is the first drug to show a reduction in
acute pancreatitis from an event rate perspective. And so these things have afforded the
company an ability to come to the market with a premium price of $40,000 per annum
on a list price basis.
The bear case arguments are going to be, or that we hear at least, is that sHTG is a
silent disease. What is patient adherence and persistence going to be like to a new
monthly therapy? Could the launch be slow? What are the kinetics going to look like for
patients accessing new medicines, again, given this is a silent disease in most
instances? What percentage of patients are going to need a new APO-C3 drug? There
are some safety debates around liver fat. Is that a signal? Is it transient?
And then there's obviously going to be debates about Arrowhead’s Redemplo, which has
less frequent dosing. It, at least at its Phase 3 study dose, doesn't appear to have a liver
fat signal. So certainly that's something that investors will debate ahead of Arrowhead’s
Phase 3 SHASTA-3 and 4 results in the third quarter of this year.
Quickly, this slide here, there is certainly no shortage of debates on how big of a market
really is this. A lot of the epidemiology cuts and segmentation have been given to us by
Ionis, and so this is just a spectrum of scenarios where the most high-risk patients, who
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