REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Comment: Key themes ahead of Royal Caribbean‘s 2Q26
Research evidence excerpt
Comment: Key themes ahead of Royal Caribbean‘s 2Q26
17 June 2026
Comment: Key themes ahead of Royal Caribbean's 2Q26
Richard J. Clarke, FCA +44 20 7676 6850 richard.clarke@bernsteinsg.com
Niall Mitchelson +44 20 7676 7144 niall.mitchelson@bernsteinsg.com
Lasith Siriwardana +44 20 7550 2191 lasith.siriwardana@bernsteinsg.com
We regularly hold calls with companies, making sure we are up-to-date with their latest communications. We recently caught up with Royal
Caribbean, in the lead up to their 2Q26 reporting, and provide an update of the key themes on the company below.
Perfect Day Mexico: Perfect Day Mexico remains a key topic for Royal Caribbean after the recent rejection by the Mexican Environmental
Agency. Royal Caribbean remain confident in the path ahead; there is support from local government both in Mexico and Texas, which
were both set to benefit from infrastructure development. The government has made requests for modification to the design, which RCL
are open to. It is a fluid situation, changing weekly, but our current expectations are for a delay in the months. There is scope to tweak
Galveston deployments in the meantime and/or look at ship retirements. We would note that the Cozumel Beach Club is at a similar stage of
development and therefore at similar potential risks from environmental agency review.
Demand: A reminder that the company had previously guided to 0.2% net yield growth in Q2 and 1.5-2.5% for FY and stated the yield
profile would be “smile shaped”, i.e. implying a strong back end recovery. Our data (Cruise: Key feedback post VIK & NCLH initiation (and June
Bernstein price tracker)), suggests that Q2 is running stronger than guidance, with 1% price increases and suggesting some improvement in
recent “close-in” demand.
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