REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
The Point for Latin America
Research evidence excerpt
The Point for Latin America
in the Urea export market (Reuters, 05/27/2026), while high prices may lead to a
slight destruction of Urea demand or leading producers to prioritize the use of
ammonium sulfate (Globo Rural, 03/16/2026), in an attempt to preserve
margins. Thus, we are lowering our estimates and TP to US$11.75/sh(from
US$14.50/sh). Meanwhile, we maintained our Neutral Rating, given the
unattractive yields/multiples and worsening momentum for its key commodities,
combined with potential risks around El Niño. However, we keep our positive view
on operational side, as AGRO is deleveraging after the acquisition of Profertil.
Gabriel Barra
SLC Agricola SA (SLCE3.SA) - Key takeaways from 2026 Farm Day
SLC Agrícola held its Farm Day 2026, updating 2025/26 and 2026/27 crop
projections, hedge positions, irrigation, and the 2026 land appraisal report. These
updates reinforce the company's focus on climate risk mitigation and operational
stability. SLC executes a disciplined capital allocation policy, maximizing returns
by optimizing the production mix while expanding its footprint through owned and
leased land, targeting a 2x leverage ratio. While updated land valuation confirms
asset appreciation, we remain cautious. All eyes remain on 2026/27 margins, given
potential negative impacts from a strong El Niño and cost pressure, supporting our
Neutral rating. The company has secured phosphate and potash needs and is
evaluating its production mix and nitrogen acquisition for the upcoming season.
Industry
Brazil Insurance - Multi-Line - SUSEP April/26: Credit-life and Life Premiums
Continue to Struggle
SUSEP released April data. BBSE (Seg+Prev) net income increased 12% y/y,
propelled by financial income. Rural premiums were down 20% y/y, though rural
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