REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Updating our target price
Research evidence excerpt
Updating our target price
Global Markets Research
15 June 2026M3
2413.T 2413 JP / EQUITY: JAPAN PHARMACEUTICALS
RatingUpdating our target price Remains Buy
Target price
Reduced from 3,540 JPY 3,300We expect earnings growth from launch of AI services, use of AI
Closing price JPY 1,610.0We keep our Buy rating, revise our DCF model assumptions 12 June 2026
For details of earnings trends and our forecasts, see our 1 May 2026 report on M3. For
Implied upside +105.0%27/3, we still forecast strong growth in the medical workplace DX business as the
company works through its end-26/3 order backlog at the pharmaceutical marketing
business and acquires specialty pharmaceutical projects. We revise the risk-free rate
assumption in our DCF model from 1.5% to 2.0% to reflect higher interest rates. We retain
Relative performance chartour earnings forecasts and other assumptions. Accordingly, we revise our WACC
assumption from 7.5% to 8.0% and lower our DCF-derived target price to ¥3,300. We
maintain our Buy rating on the stock.
Earnings forecasts
We forecast sales growth of 15.9% y-y and operating profit growth of 15.4% in 27/3. We
expect the company to increase the number of AI-related engineers, and expect the
benefits of AI deployment to start to emerge. In the medical platform segment, we expect
sales growth to accelerate with each passing quarter as the company works through its
end-26/3 order backlog for pharmaceutical marketing services. We also expect progress
with high-precision marketing solutions and cross-selling based on AI-based clinic opening
projections (including property, equipment installation and design, and advertising support
for physicians opening new clinics). We expect stronger sales of services with high added
Source: LSEG, Nomura
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