First Read: Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp "Post-WildFire Deal Call - Expanding..."

Research evidence excerpt

First Read: Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp "Post-WildFire Deal Call - Expanding..."

Global Research

20 July 2026ab

First Read

EquitiesMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp

Post-WildFire Deal Call - Expanding The Recipe United States

Oil Companies, Secondary

12-month rating Buy *

Giddings Consolidation Creates Longer Runway

MGY will acquire privately-held WildFire Energy for $4.06Bn in a cash and stock deal. 12m price target US$34.00

The acquisition was not a surprise after media reports (link), and we see a sound deal

logic, given the offsetting acreage and clear opportunity for MGY to expand its oil

Price (17 Jul 2026) US$27.26

resource. The deal's valuation was at a premium though and drives a jump in MGY's

leverage, however given MGY's track record of Giddings execution, we see it as well RIC: MGY.N BBG: MGY US

positioned to achieve the projected deleveraging while lifting capital efficiency on the Trading data and key metrics

expanded portfolio. Oil inventory depth has previously been an investor pushback on

52-wk range US$32.36-21.24

MGY, and we see the deal as a smart strategic step to address this, without straying too

Market cap. US$4.94b

far from the successful framework MGY's employed through its life cycle. Maintain Buy.

Shares o/s 181m (COM)

Key Highlights Of MGY's WildFire Acquisition Free float 98%

Avg. daily volume ('000) 881

Transaction Details. To fund the purchase, MGY will issue WildFire owners

32.2mm MGY shares, assume $600mm of WildFire debt, tap cash on hand, and Avg. daily value (m) US$24.4

complete further potential debt and equity issuance. Based on the $4.06Bn price, Common s/h equity (12/26E) US$2.23b

we estimate a ~$76.6k/boepd flowing transaction valuation, a premium vs. MGY's P/BV (12/26E) 2.2x

current ~$47.6k/boepd valuation.