GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Still plenty of catalysts; reiterating Buy rating
Research evidence excerpt
Still plenty of catalysts; reiterating Buy rating
hares includes treasury stock looking high at 32%, we expect most of this growth to come from orders
Absolute and TOPIX-relative share price already received (see Figure 5). We think significant delays in projects will
be limited and therefore see a comparatively high probability of our forecasts
being achieved. (More on page 2)
WATCH: Focusing on MVNO business
In preparation for the discontinuation of analog line usage in March 2029,
prefectural police departments across Japan are pushing ahead with the
transition of 70,000 traffic signals to digital communication, and Nippon Signal
provides these services as an MVNO operator. This is a recurring revenue
business, and while losses are likely in the initial phase of operations due
to the drag from depreciation charges for the installed signal equipment,Analyst Yosuke Saika
+81 3 6202 8549 yosuke.saika@mizuho-sc.com profitability should be extremely high once declining-balance depreciation
ends after five years. For FY3/29, the final transition year, we forecast sales
Click here for ESG on of around ¥3.0b and a turn to operating profit and then expect a steady
our entire coverage acceleration in profitability improvement in subsequent years as the burden
of depreciation lessens.
MEASURE: Applying PER of just over 13x to our FY3/27 EPS forecast
Our price objective of ¥2,200 is based on a PER of just over 13x and our
FY3/27 EPS forecast. We lower our fair-value multiple from 15x previously
due to expectations for the gradual pricing in of growth prospects for FY3/27
onward.
Consolidated results and forecasts Share Price: ¥1,585 (7 Jul) 52wks: H ¥1,809 L ¥1,008
Term Sales YoY OP YoY RP YoY NP YoY EPS PER EV/EBITDA
(¥m ) (%) (¥m ) (%) (¥m ) (%) (¥m ) (%) (¥) (x) (x)
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