GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Wynn-dow to U.A.E. …. Initiating Coverage with a Buy Rating and $125 PT
Research evidence excerpt
Wynn-dow to U.A.E. …. Initiating Coverage with a Buy Rating and $125 PT
With leverage declining
Market Cap ($M) $10,001 and FCF inflecting (post UAE opening), we think WYNN is poised for more capital returns
to shareholders. We are initiating with a Buy rating and $125 PT. ADTV 1,018,133
Shares Out (M) 104 Investment Positives: Best assets in good, (potentially) great and recovering
Short Interest Ratio/% Of Float 11.8% neighborhoods. WYNN LV has performed well through market softness, and should still
Dividend/Yield $1.00/1.0% benefit from what looks to be market recovery. An adjacent ~38-acre parcel of land gets
Enterprise Value ($M) $18,926 overlooked, which represents attractive LT optionality. Across the globe, WYNN Al Marjan
Cash & Equivalents ($M) $1,622 Island is set to open in 2027. We are not so concerned over exact timing (currently a "modest
delay" is expected) as there may not be any direct competition for years to come, and the Total Debt ($M) $10,547
property has the potential to become one of the highest EBITDA generating properties in the
world. For Macau, we see no shortage of risks (geopolitical, regulatory, concessions), but the
44 Page Document market continues on its path to pre-pandemic levels which should benefit WYNN. We also
see ROI from ~$2.5B in required concession related capex despite the non-gaming focus.
Over time, we expect WYNN EBITDA to become more diversified with Macau becoming a
Reasons for this report smaller part of the portfolio.
✓ Initiation of Coverage Risks: Regional volatility, government intervention, competitive openings. Regulatory
restrictions/government interventions are always possible in Macau with Beijing having
a history of occasionally tightening visitation and money movement. Macau concession
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