GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
SYY - The Depot Data Dump—More Evidence of A Robust Model With the Capacity For Faster Growth; We Stay BUY-Rated With A $90 Price Target
Research evidence excerpt
SYY - The Depot Data Dump—More Evidence of A Robust Model With the Capacity For Faster Growth; We Stay BUY-Rated With A $90 Price Target
July 5, 2026
John Heinbockel john.heinbockel@guggenheimpartners.com SYY - The Depot Data Dump—More Evidence of A
212 381 4135 Robust Model With the Capacity For Faster Growth;
Steven Forbes, CFA, CPA
steven.forbes@guggenheimpartners.com We Stay BUY-Rated With A $90 Price Target
212 381 4188
Julio Marquez Key Message: The shares’ recent resurgence likely reflects fuel price pullback-oriented julio.marquez@guggenheimpartners.com macro-optimism as opposed to increased enthusiasm around the seemingly tangential 212 823 6605
(to some) $29 billion Restaurant Depot acquisition. That said, detailed historical financials
Jacob Nivasch in the recent S4 filing offer further evidence of a unique, robust model with the clear
jacob.nivasch@guggenheimpartners.com capacity for accelerated growth. During the last two-plus years, EBIT margin has
212 338 8837 consistently expanded, off a well above-average level, although top-line momentum has
Max Horowitz tracked below the long-term CAGR, partly on modest inflation. Given strong FCF and
max.horowitz@guggenheimpartners.com a deep management bench, we believe accelerating unit expansion could benefit the
212 518 9974 go-forward growth algo as the balance sheet is rapidly de-levered. Together with an
improving “core” business, this contributes to our ongoing BUY-rating and $90 price target
at 10x 2027E EBITDA—see Exhibit 1.
The Robust Model…That Needs to Grow Faster. The two-plus years of detailed financialsSYY BUY
Sysco Corp. contained in the recent S4 filing bolster the argument that RD is a unique, robust model
Sector: Food Distribution which needs to be expanded at a faster pace.
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