GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Foodservice Distribution - The More Things Change, the More They Stay the Same—We Remain Buyers, Raising the PFGC Price Target to $125
Research evidence excerpt
Foodservice Distribution - The More Things Change, the More They Stay the Same—We Remain Buyers, Raising the PFGC Price Target to $125
Food Distribution June 28, 2026
John Heinbockel
john.heinbockel@guggenheimpartners.com Foodservice Distribution - The More Things Change,
212 381 4135 the More They Stay the Same—We Remain Buyers, Steven Forbes, CFA, CPA
steven.forbes@guggenheimpartners.com Raising the PFGC Price Target to $125
212 381 4188
Julio Marquez Key Message: The last several months have re-affirmed, once more, why foodservice julio.marquez@guggenheimpartners.com
212 823 6605 distribution should be a core holding for duration investors, in our view, especially during
seemingly annual periods of fundamental angst-driven significant share price pullbacks.
Jacob Nivasch As detailed in Exhibit 1, the sector rallied 15-35%, versus a flat S&P 500, in the past six
jacob.nivasch@guggenheimpartners.com weeks rightfully putting aside overdone concerns around the adverse impact of elevated 212 338 8837
fuel prices on the P&L. Consistent with medium-term trading dynamics, PFGC has led
Max Horowitz the way—see Exhibit 2—something we have incessantly discussed since the February
max.horowitz@guggenheimpartners.com sell-off. Despite these moves, we reiterate a bullish stance believing a “defensive growth”
212 518 9974 posture positions the sector well for both risk-on or risk-off markets and valuations are
not stretched, especially for PFGC, which trades at 10x 2027E EBITDA. We raise our
price target to a conservative $125 (from $115 prior).
Big Three “Mo” In A Soft, But Stable Market. We believe June quarter local case, and
overall, top-line momentum has remained solid despite an ongoing soft food-away-from-
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