GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Logistics ops look solid, but profitability in non-logistics ops still an issue
Research evidence excerpt
Logistics ops look solid, but profitability in non-logistics ops still an issue
growth and believe
Absolute and TOPIX-relative share price a further rise in valuations will likely require the non-logistics businesses to
deliver better margins and generate synergies with the logistics business. In
the short term, however, we think major improvement is unlikely.
WATCH: Benefits from structural reforms in the product segment
Alongside FY3/26 results, the company announced measures to improve
profit margins in the product segment. It aims to improve earnings by
consolidating production bases and bringing some products in-house, and it
forecasts an annual profit boost of around ¥650m from FY3/28. We are also
focusing on this as an example of the company improving the profitability of
Analyst Rintaro Fujimoto non-logistics businesses acquired in past M&A deals.
+81 3 6202 8170 rintaro.fujimoto@mizuho-sc.com The company also plans to reorganize its life support and trading & commerce
Senior Analyst Katsuhiko Suzuki+81 3 6202 8632 katsuhiko.suzuki@mizuho-sc.com businesses, which we are hopeful leads to better management efficiency.
MEASURE: Applying PER of about 14x
Click here for ESG on We calculate our price objective based on a PER of around 14x on our
our entire coverage FY3/27 EPS estimate (¥140.4). Our target multiple references the average
forward PER for five 3PL companies based on FY26 Bloomberg consensus
estimates. The company’s high-value-added logistics services such as cold
chain logistics could earn the stock a premium over the five 3PL companies.
However, the profitability of the non-logistics businesses is a discounting
factor, so we believe it is appropriate to value the stock using the average
PER of these five peers.
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