GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
EU BioVoyage: Confidence In PREVAIL Interim & Obi's Differentiation Reiterated
Research evidence excerpt
EU BioVoyage: Confidence In PREVAIL Interim & Obi's Differentiation Reiterated
Biotechnology
NewAmsterdam Pharma
TD SECURITIES (USA) LLC QUICK TAKE: CONFERENCE TAKEAWAY
June 30, 2026
Price: $33.87 (06/29/2026) EU BioVoyage: Confidence In PREVAIL Interim
Price Target: NA & Obi's Differentiation Reiterated
BUY (1)
Tyler Van Buren THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
646 562 1343
We hosted NAMS management and a KOL to discuss recent NAMS developments. A win for
tyler.vanburen@tdsecurities.com
PREVAIL consists of a stat sig primary with a strong p-value and consistent MACE trends
Sam Rollenhagen and not necessarily a specific RRR. Confidence in the Q4 interim is bolstered by increased
212 468 7785 powering from the newer and more relevant 4-point endpoint and from positively trending
samuel.rollenhagen@tdsecurities.com
event rates from year one to year two.
Nicholas Lorusso
646 562 1390 Success Of PREVAIL Remains Most Important, Small Differences In RRR Not Found To Be
nick.lorusso@tdsecurities.com Commercially Differentiating
Greg W. Torres, Ph.D. Management emphasized that success in PREVAIL is ultimately defined by reaching statistical
646 562 1351
significance with a robust p-value and directional consistency across MACE components,
gregory.wiessner@tdsecurities.com
rather than an exact percentage reduction. Historical outcomes trials have generally
Ikenna Okafor, Ph.D. produced MACE reductions below 20% (e.g., ezetimibe ~7%, REVEAL ~9%, FOURIER/ODYSSEY
646 562 1395 ~15%, CLEAR Outcomes ~13%), reinforcing that incremental differences within the mid- to
ikenna.okafor@tdsecurities.com high-teens range are unlikely to be commercially meaningful. Once a therapy demonstrates
Key Data a positive outcomes benefit, prescribing behavior is expected to shift toward practical
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