VSE Corp: Differentiated Aftermarket Platform, Balanced Risk/Reward; Initiate at Equal-weight

Research evidence excerpt

VSE Corp: Differentiated Aftermarket Platform, Balanced Risk/Reward; Initiate at Equal-weight

provided by Refinitiv Estimates

Bull case driven by faster growth, earlier margin expansion, better FCF e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates

conversion, and synergy upside. Quarterly EPS ($)

2026e 2026e 2027e 2027e

Quarter 2025 Prior Current Prior Current

VSE’s Transformation into a Scaled Aerospace Aftermarket Platform Q1 0.78 - 1.17a - -

Q2 0.97 - 0.85 - -

VSE Corporation (VSEC) is a pure-play commercial aerospace aftermarket company Q3 0.99 - 1.06 - -

Q4 1.16 - 1.17 - -

providing aircraft replacement-parts distribution, proprietary solutions, and

e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates, a = Actual Company reported data

maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services to customers across commercial

aviation (~45% of revenue), business and general aviation (~50%), and military

(~5%) end markets globally. Under CEO John Cuomo’s leadership, VSE has been

transformed into its current form through 11 aerospace acquisitions and three

divestitures. Today, the company generates all of its revenue from the aerospace

aftermarket, with its business split between Distribution (~40% of revenue) and

Repair (~60%), and approximately half of total revenue tied to engine-related

aftermarket activity. VSE’s capabilities span wheels, tires, brakes, engines, engine

components and accessories, and avionics. In our view, the company’s competitive

advantage lies in its integration of technical parts distribution, component MRO, and

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with

proprietary OEM-licensed manufacturing, supported by a high proportion of companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result,

exclusive distribution agreements.