GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Wells Wheels Up: Wetherbee's Airline Weekly
Research evidence excerpt
Wells Wheels Up: Wetherbee's Airline Weekly
Equity Research
Industry Update — June 18, 2026
Airlines
Good Set Up for Delta on Solid Revenue and Lower Fuel
Trends
Our Call Christian Wetherbee
As we close out 2Q, we think upside to Delta's $1.00-$1.50 EPS range in materializing. Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Christian.Wetherbee@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8053
Demand trends remain solid and tactical pricing opportunities remain, while lower fuel
Robert H. Salmon, CFAoffsets elevated CASMx.
Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Robert.H.Salmon@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5016
Recipe for Upside - 2Q demand trends are solid, as higher price has not slowed demand. Ryan Deveikis
Cash bookings remain +15-20% across the curve (close in & into 2H) and Delta seems Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
to have found route specific pricing opportunities beyond the initial system-wide fare Ryan.Deveikis@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8040
increases in late 1Q/early 2Q. Coupled with modestly positive ASMs, we see upside Matthew Hortopan
to consensus' 13% rev growth. Fuel is also below guide (likely sub-$4 net of refinery), Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
offsetting higher seq CASMx growth. 2Q EPS of ~$1.75 seems possible. Matthew.F.Hortopan@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5009
Fuel Recapture Accelerating - Airlines are clear beneficiaries of lower oil and if recent Recent Airline Research:
jet fuel trends continue, fuel recapture levels will improve. Most airlines target ~100%
Wells Wheels Up: Wetherbee's Airline Weeklyrecapture by year-end and Delta is likely to be at/near the high end of its 40-50% range
- Week 23in 2Q. 100% recapture could be pulled forward into earlier 4Q, which sets the table for
100%+ in 1H27.
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