GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
NVDA: SpaceX Places $52B GB300 Rack Order (13,000 Racks) with Foxconn - NVDA Positive; Focus on Dell & Supermicro Competition
Research evidence excerpt
NVDA: SpaceX Places $52B GB300 Rack Order (13,000 Racks) with Foxconn - NVDA Positive; Focus on Dell & Supermicro Competition
Semiconductors Equity Research
Investment Thesis, Valuation and Risks
Nvidia Corporation (NVDA)
Investment Thesis
Our Overweight rating is based on our positive stance on NVIDIA’s competitive positioning in gaming GPUs and expanding growth
opportunities in data center, HPC, and emerging / expanding AI opportunities (autonomous vehicles, healthcare, robotics, etc.). We see
sustainability in NVIDIA's CUDA software platform differentiation, as well as the company's continually deepening system software
capabilities. We see NVIDIA as one of the most attractive secular growth stories in large-cap semis.
Target Price Valuation for NVDA
Our $315 price target is ~21x P/E on our C2028E. This compares to NVDA trading at a ~32x median NTM P/E on consensus estimates
over the past three years. While "peak share" concerns have compressed NVIDIA's multiple, we argue the company should at least trade in-
line with SOX P/E given strong multi-year competitive positioning for data center growth, driven by cloud and AI, gaming, next-generation
autonomous vehicles, and an expanding ecosystem of products/applications (e.g., Omniverse).
Risks to Our Price Target and Rating for NVDA
Risks include: (1) increased competition in the cloud data center, high-performance computing, and PC gaming markets (2) the continued
development of new markets, including artificial intelligence/machine learning and autonomous driving, and (3) delays in product
introduction due to use of third-party process technology, component availability, etc.
Companies Mentioned in Report
Company Name Ticker Last Price
(07/17/26)
Nvidia Corporation NVDA $202.81
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