GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Refreshing the Outlook for the Vicuna Era
Research evidence excerpt
Refreshing the Outlook for the Vicuna Era
June 17, 2026 | 20:14 ET~
Lundin Mining
LUN-TSX Rating Price: Jun-17 Target Total Rtn Metals & Mining
Outperform $38.73 $45.00 16%
Matthew Murphy, CFA Analyst
matthews.murphy@bmo.com (416) 843-3198
Mert Karanfil Associate
Refreshing the Outlook for the Vicuna Era mert.karanfil@bmo.com (416) 568-4832
David Hove, CFA VP Associate
david.hove@bmo.com (416) 355-8767
Bottom Line: Legal Entity: BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc.
LUN's investor day highlighted a company on the path to be a top 10 copper producer
2YR Price Volume Chart
with the balance sheet strength and cash flow profile to embark on its "Vicuna era". 50
Operations have performed well and mine profile updates were generally slightly 40
positive to our model. We continue to see upside to LUN's operations including 30
Candelaria underground expansion, Caserones exploration (including Los Helados 20 15
options), Sauva at Chapada, and further refinement of plans at Vicuna ahead of year- 10
10 5end project sanctioning.
0 0
Dec Jun Dec Jun
Key Points LHS: Price (C$) / RHS: Volume (mm) Source: FactSet
Company Data in C$
Vicuna progressing ahead of formal sanctioning. The project is on track for year-
Dividend $0.11 Shares O/S (mm) 855.6end sanctioning. Recently approved RIGI PEELP provides long duration tax stability;
provincial agreement work is underway. Engineering is expected to be ~50% complete Yield 0.3% Market Cap (mm) $33,138
at sanctioning, with 70–80% completion in critical civil and mechanical areas. SAG and NAV US$16.50 P/NAV 1.7x
ball mill shells have been acquired and bulk earthworks at the process plant have BMO Estimates in $
gotten underway. Over 400 suppliers have been engaged, alongside local hiring and (FY-Dec.) 2024A 2025A 2026E 2027E
training initiatives.
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