GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Weekly Material Matters: Steel Hotter than the Knicks, for Now
Research evidence excerpt
Weekly Material Matters: Steel Hotter than the Knicks, for Now
Equity Research
Industry Update — June 15, 2026
Materials Specialty Metals
Building Products Steel
Construction Materials
Mining
Weekly Material Matters: Steel Hotter than the
Knicks, for Now
Our Call Timna Tanners
• Key conference themes: Building mats confident on pricing; demand exceeding EquityTimna.Tanners@wellsfargo.comAnalyst | Wells Fargo Securities,| 212-214-5437LLC
expectations; steel supply scramble.
Matt Dushkin, CPA
• We have more conviction in NUE's mid-qtr EPS vs STLD, but stay constructive both Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
despite growing conviction HRC is nearing a peak. matt.dushkin@wellsfargo.com | 713-320-7199
The week ahead - NUE/STLD midqtr guides, ARTBA state budgets, USMCA talks Exhibit 1 - Wells Fargo EPS ests vs
consensus
• NUE's mid-qtr guide will be boosted by higher utilization, value-add spreads, and niche
downstream exposure, yet mgmt tends to guide conservatively. Q226E EPS ($)
Wells Fargo Consensus Variance
• STLD margins can expand on its aluminum ramp and value-add spreads, but NUE $4.91 $4.20 17% downstream can see pressure from higher sheet costs.
STLD $4.43 $4.14 7%
• ARTBA's state DoT budget details for F2027E will give insight into bldg mats funding. Source: Factset, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC ests
• US/MX were set to begin a 2nd round of USMCA negotiations Tue/Wed. Exhibit 2 - PPI aggregates vs cement vs
ready mix (y/y)
The week that was - 16th Industrial & Materials conference 16% Crushed stone PPI Cement PPI
Ready mix PPI• Key conference themes from AA, AMRZ, AZZ, CENX, CRH, EXP, KNF, MLM, NUE, RS, 11%
STLD and VMC: Aggregates mid-yr price hikes gained traction, bldg mats mgmts were
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