GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
GRGD: Checking the fit: Reiterating constructive view, PT to $107 ahead of Q1/F26
Research evidence excerpt
GRGD: Checking the fit: Reiterating constructive view, PT to $107 ahead of Q1/F26
Groupe Dynamite Inc.
Target/Upside/Downside Scenarios Investment summary
Compelling growth story with long and visible runway inGroupe Dynamite Inc.
NA. GRGD is a compelling SMID-cap growth-oriented women’s
120 82 Weeks 20NOV24 - 10JUN26 fashion retailer with a well-defined target market, sector-
TARGETTARGET 107.00107.00 leading, organically driven top-line growth, a disciplined and 100
80 data-driven approach to design and inventory management,
CURRENTCURRENT 66.5766.57 and a clearly articulated real estate premiumization strategy.
60 The result is sector-leading growth, profitability, FCF
40 conversion, and return metrics. GRGD has demonstrated
20 exceptional agility in navigating uncertain/volatile global
0 macro backdrops with a proven playbook of disciplined
6m 4m execution and supply chain resilience.
2m
2024 2025 2026
N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J Forecast ~19% top-line CAGR underpins growth algo, with
GRGD CN Rel. S&P/TSX COMP IDX MA 40 weeks modestly higher GM% and operating leverage driving
Source: Bloomberg and RBC Capital Markets estimates for Target >20% EBITDA/EPS growth. Our forecasts are predicated on
Valuation accelerating penetration GARAGE brand and network in the
We generate our $107 PT by applying 16.5x EBITDA and 30.0x US and rising penetration of e-commerce from 19% to ~25%
EPS to our F27 forecasts. Our target multiples are broadly through 2028. Development of DYNAMITE and footprint in NA,
consistent with target multiples we apply on Aritzia (TSX:ATZ) and recent introduction of GARAGE in the UK, incremental to
reflecting traction and momentum. Based on our analysis, our forecasts, provide optionality beyond our horizon.
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