GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
GRGD: Still in fashion: Despite share price reaction, fundamental story/opportunity remain compelling
Research evidence excerpt
GRGD: Still in fashion: Despite share price reaction, fundamental story/opportunity remain compelling
RBC Dominion Securities Inc.
Irene Nattel (Analyst)
(514) 878-7262, irene.nattel@rbccm.com
Martin Gravel, CFA (Associate Analyst)
(514) 878-7264, martin.gravel@rbccm.com
Kseniia Tokarieva (Associate)
(416) 842-9922, kseniia.tokarieva@rbccm.com
June 16, 2026
Groupe Dynamite Inc. Outperform
TSX: GRGD; CAD 47.74RESEARCH Still in fashion: Despite share price reaction, Price Target CAD 107.00
fundamental story/opportunity remain compelling Scenario Analysis*
Our view: Based on our analysis, share price decline >30% is overdone
and incongruent with GRGD's growth algorithm and relative economics DownsideScenario CurrentPrice TargetPrice ScenarioUpside
of the business, both of which remain intact. Nothing in today's release
changes our view of GRGD as a compelling, high quality, high growth 46.004% 47.74 107.00124% 143.00200%
story in Canadian retail and in our view, the magnitude of the valuation
*Implied Total ReturnsEQUITY compression and discount to ATZ is inconsistent with the growth trajectory, Key Statistics
FCF profile/return of capital optionality, exceptional return metrics, and Shares O/S (MM): 108.7 Market Cap (MM): 5,191
international expansion opportunity. Reiterating our constructive view, PT Dividend: 0.00 Yield: 0.0%
unchanged at $107. Float (MM): 19.8 Avg. Daily Volume: 611,747 3-Yr. Est. EPS Growth: 24.76%
Strategic Ownership: Andrew Lutfy equity interest ~81.5%.
Key points:
Don’t throw the baby out with the bath water. While Q1 constant FX SSS RBC Estimates
+24.7% / Q2 to date +11% is clearly agitating the market, it’s important not FY Jan 2025A 2026E 2027E 2028E
EPS, Ops Diluted 2.25 3.14 3.68 4.37 to lose sight of the broader context: Prev. 3.67 4.32
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