GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
FIVE - The Processes Are Structurally Stronger But the Comp Descent Must Be Navigated—At 11x EBITDA, We Stay BUY-Rated With A Lower $250 PT
Research evidence excerpt
FIVE - The Processes Are Structurally Stronger But the Comp Descent Must Be Navigated—At 11x EBITDA, We Stay BUY-Rated With A Lower $250 PT
June 7, 2026
John Heinbockel john.heinbockel@guggenheimpartners.com FIVE - The Processes Are Structurally Stronger
212 381 4135 But the Comp Descent Must Be Navigated—At 11x
Steven Forbes, CFA, CPA
steven.forbes@guggenheimpartners.com EBITDA, We Stay BUY-Rated With A Lower $250 PT
212 381 4188
Julio Marquez Key Message: The seeming dichotomy between the robust 1Q print and subsequent julio.marquez@guggenheimpartners.com sell-off reflects the forthcoming steep normalization in comp momentum which carries 212 823 6605
little significance for the secular story but, until the floor is established, dissuades
Jacob Nivasch incremental buyers. Unusually healthy “trend” results partially drove an 800-basis point
jacob.nivasch@guggenheimpartners.com comp acceleration to 23% and a doubling in EBIT margin, a performance akin to the
212 338 8837 COVID recovery in early 2022, which gave way to a period of top and bottom-line declines
Max Horowitz and a meaningful pull-back in the shares. Stronger operational processes would serve the
max.horowitz@guggenheimpartners.com business well, with shallower, if any, P&L givebacks, and a more muted near-term share
212 518 9974 price underperformance. At 11x 2026E EBITDA—see Exhibit 1—they are compelling for
a mid-teen’s growth algo and we, thus, remain BUY-Rated, although we are lowering our
price target to $250 from $260.
The Peak Descent Got Steeper With The 1Q Beat. Given the pervasive and highly visible FIVE BUY
Five Below, Inc. product development and third-party data strength during the past several months, the 1Q’s
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