GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Healthcare—HC Payroll Growth ~Stable vs. March and Remains Above Pre-Covid Levels
Research evidence excerpt
Healthcare—HC Payroll Growth ~Stable vs. March and Remains Above Pre-Covid Levels
Equity Research
Industry Update — June 5, 2026
Health Care Services
Healthcare—HC Payroll Growth ~Stable vs.
March and Remains Above Pre-Covid Levels
Our Call Stephen Baxter, CFA
HC payroll growth in April was essentially stable with March and above 1Q26 and pre Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Stephen.Baxter@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8041
Covid avg growth rates. Ambulatory saw stable y/y growth relative to March levels, and
Mitchell Ostrovskywas above LTM avg. Hospital growth slowed some, at lowest since Nov 2025.
Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Mitchell.Ostrovsky@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-7243
Data. Today (6/5), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the April 2026 Thomas Muller
Employment Situation. We see the data as important to monitor because it provides Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
insight into labor trends in healthcare and an indirect read-through to demand and Thomas.Muller@wellsfargo.com | 332-214-6218
capacity. In addition, we see nonfarm payrolls as representing a reasonable proxy for James Lemmis
changes in employer-based insurance coverage. BLS also released the Job Openings and Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) results for April on 6/2. James.Lemmis@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5336
Total Nonfarm Payrolls. May total nonfarm payrolls increased 0.5% m/m, and increased
0.3% y/y, to 159.5MM. We are tracking not seasonally adjusted data—the 172K “headline”
increase reported is seasonally adjusted. From 2015 to 2019, nonfarm payrolls, on
average, increased 0.6% m/m and increased 1.7% y/y in May. Relative to Dec 2019 levels,
total nonfarm payrolls are 104.3%.
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