GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Hyatt Hotels: Our Thoughts Post the Hyatt Investor Day
Research evidence excerpt
Hyatt Hotels: Our Thoughts Post the Hyatt Investor Day
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy Hyatt Hotels 28 May 2026
Company Update
North America
United States
Reuters Bloomberg Exchange Ticker Price at 28 May 2026 (USD) 184.51
H.N H US NYS H
Price target 204.00
Consumer
183.15 -
Gaming & Lodging 52-week range 129.96
Our Thoughts Post the Hyatt Investor
Valuation & Risks Day
Steven Pizzella, CFA
Analyst Day Key Takes Research Analyst
Earlier today, we attended Hyatt's Investor Day at the Hyatt Regency Chicago. As +1-212-250-9817
is often the case, management provided a healthy three year outlook, while
Chris Woronka
highlighting the transformation and achievements of the Company over the last Research Analyst
several years, and key drivers to create value moving forward. We found the +1-212-250-9376
incremental information H provided, which we detail in this note, to be beneficial
and likely help investors moving forward.
Overall, we come away with a more detailed guide path to H's thinking on its growth
trajectory and future mix of EBITDA, which we believe should lead to increased
operating leverage, a more durable managed & franchise fee based mix, and
increased free cash flow conversion, which should be a catalyst for continued
multiple expansion moving forward.
H Financial Outlook
As is customary with lodging Investor Days, H provided a longer term outlook. Most
notable, H expects 2028 adjusted EBITDA to be $1.400 to $1.585 bn, which
represents a 3 year CAGR of 11.0% to 16.0% and compares favorably to Consensus
Metrix Consensus of $1.432 bn.
The core fee outlook is driven by a three year RevPAR CAGR of 2.0% to 4.0% and a
net rooms growth CAGR of 6.0% to 8.0%. This combination equates to 8.0% to
12.0% core fee growth.
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