GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Dollar General Corp "Shrink No More" (Buy) Lasser
Research evidence excerpt
Dollar General Corp "Shrink No More" (Buy) Lasser
Global Research
26 May 2026ab
Dollar General Corp Equities
AmericasShrink No More
Retailers, Broadline
12-month rating Buy
We believe DG is one of the best positioned retailers in the hardline and food
retail space.
12m price target US$168.00
While the market's sentiment on the dollar stores is cautious, this pessimism has created
an opportunity with DG shares, in our view. Dollar General has exhibited progressive
Price (26 May 2026) US$103.61
improvements over the course of the last year. But, any enthusiasm for the progress has
proven to be fleeting. A signal that DG's comp slowed to start the current quarter RIC: DG.N BBG: DG US
resulted in a dwindling of the equity market's "trust bank" for the stock. Now, the
Trading data and key metrics
company can refill this reservoir of interest in the shares.
52-wk range US$156.24-95.94
As far as this quarter, we think the company will meet the market's bar of 2% Market cap. US$22.8b
comp (we forecast 2% versus the consensus forecast of 2.1%). The company will Shares o/s 220m (COM)
very likely point out that 1Q'26 started out slow due to the impact of the storms Free float 100%
early in the period. But, it probably gained steam even as its core customer felt Avg. daily volume ('000) 898
incremental pressure from reduced SNAP funds. The impact of the rise in gas prices Avg. daily value (m) US$109.6
probably meant that the core customer visited DG's stores more frequently, but
Common s/h equity (01/27E) US$10.6b
spent a little less each time.
P/BV (01/27E) 2.1x
Historically, when gas prices reached $4 per gallon, consumer behavior shifted, Net debt to EBITDA (01/27E) 0.6x
particularly among lower-income shoppers, who tended to shop closer to home.
EPS (UBS, diluted) (USD)
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