GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
LOW: While Q1 a Victim of Higher Expectations; Q2 Expected Better with FY26 Intact
Research evidence excerpt
LOW: While Q1 a Victim of Higher Expectations; Q2 Expected Better with FY26 Intact
-69bps y/y; we est ADG/FBM mix of -100bps partially 2026E 3.03 A 4.26 E 3.21 E 1.95 E 12.45 E
offset by favorable credit revenue; 2) LOW Q2 assumes +1% comps (or +40bps/+300bps Prior 2.95 E 4.40 E 3.22 E 1.93 E 12.50 E
q/q on a 1/2-yr basis via Total Home initiatives, tax refund benefit, etc.) & Adj EPS -2% y/ 2027E 3.25 E 4.57 E 3.52 E 2.19 E 13.55 E
y (vs. +3% St); Q2 Adj EBIT% pressures expected via ADG/FBM, reinvestment & transport Prior 3.22 E 4.75 E 3.51 E 2.15 E 13.65 E
cost pressure; 3) Fuel/commodity pressures were manageable in Q1 & LOW is working to
mitigate higher costs in Q2 (via PPI offsets, contract adjustments, etc). EPSSource:2023Company:Annual:Data,EPS Wellsdo notFargosum dueSecuritiesto rounding.estimates, and Factset.
NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate
Add'l takes. 1) Mylow AI assistant is now answering 1M+ consumer inquiries/month; Zachary Fadem, CPA
driving ~3x higher sales conversion vs. non-users; 2) Appliances were positive despite Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
squishy checks; 70% of category still duress-driven; 3) LOW now offers free same-day Zachary.Fadem@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8018
delivery on $25 orders for members; 4) LOW continues Pro enhancements, including AI David Lantz
powered Material List quoting tool; broader assortment, in-stocks/restock times; 5) 2H Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
innovation coming across categories; Pet/workwear full fleet rollout by YE. David.Lantz@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5044
Anthony Trainor
Other takes. 1) 9 of 13 categories comped positive in Q1 (including Appliances, Lawn EquityAnthony.Trainor@wellsfargo.comAnalyst | Wells Fargo Securities,| 212-214-1953LLC
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