Consolidation and Tightening Capacity Coming

Research evidence excerpt

Consolidation and Tightening Capacity Coming

Equity Research

Industry Update — May 19, 2026

Logistics

Trucking

Consolidation and Tightening Capacity

Coming

Takeaways from Private Truck Broker Call

Our Call Christian Wetherbee

Following the Montgomery decision (link), we hosted Coby Page, MegaCorp Logistics Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC

Christian.Wetherbee@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8053

Chief Legal Officer, to discuss downstream implications. Broker insurance costs will rise

Robert H. Salmon, CFAand we expect material consolidation for both brokers and TL carriers.

Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC

Robert.H.Salmon@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5016

Broker Insurance Costs Likely Rise Materially - Brokers likely face a combination of Ryan Deveikis

higher insurance premiums, which could rise ~25-40% for large brokers, and may also Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC

need incremental coverage. Insurance costs at ~1% of gross revenue may double for Ryan.Deveikis@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8040

some carriers and smaller brokers likely see bigger increases. More extreme inflationary Matthew Hortopan

forecasts of 3-5x, however, seems unlikely to our contact. Brokers will likely need to buy Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC

more auto liability as well as errors and omissions (E&O) coverage. Matthew.F.Hortopan@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5009

Carrier Vetting Costs Are Rising Too - We expect all brokers to fine-tune the carrier Please reach out to your WF Sales

vetting process and likely spend more on technology/software. Vetting software costs Representative to access a replay of our call

~$150-$500/broker/month and $0.50-$1.50 per load for large truck brokers. Larger