GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
LOW - BUY - A Solid Start to 2026—Balancing PRO, Online, & Services Strength with Solid Margin Control; $300 Price Target
Research evidence excerpt
LOW - BUY - A Solid Start to 2026—Balancing PRO, Online, & Services Strength with Solid Margin Control; $300 Price Target
May 20, 2026
Steven Forbes, CFA, CPA steven.forbes@guggenheimpartners.com LOW - BUY - A Solid Start to 2026—Balancing
212 381 4188 PRO, Online, & Services Strength with Solid Margin
John Heinbockel
john.heinbockel@guggenheimpartners.com Control; $300 Price Target
212 381 4135
Julio Marquez Key Message: As detailed within Exhibit 1, LOW's 1Q 2026 operating results broadly julio.marquez@guggenheimpartners.com (albeit slightly) exceeded our expectations—as evidenced by an ~80 basis point of 212 823 6605
net sales upside and a ~2% adjusted EBITDA beat. Importantly, despite weather-
Jacob Nivasch related disruptions at the start of the 1Q—with management noting significant store
jacob.nivasch@guggenheimpartners.com closures during one weekend in early February (resulting in an ~30 basis point 1Q
212 338 8837 comp drag)—strong Spring selling execution concurrent with strength in PRO comps
Max Horowitz (+2-3%), appliances (positive), online (+15.5%), and home services (positive) fostered a
max.horowitz@guggenheimpartners.com modest top-line beat. Bottom line, we continue to expect LOW's "Total Home Strategy"—
212 518 9974 anchored around a) expanding PRO penetration via extended aisles and new fulfillment
capabilities, b) accelerating online sales growth (with 1Q 2026 representing the fourth
consecutive quarter of double-digit growth), c) expanding home services, d) scaling
loyalty ecosystem, and e) increasing space productivity, to accelerate the company's
market share performance into 2027 (and beyond). We are reiterating our estimates,LOW BUY BUY-rating, and $300 12-month price target. Lowe's Companies, Inc.
Sector: Hardlines
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