GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Peloton Interactive: Back in the Saddle: Peloton Pedals Into Positive Growth
Research evidence excerpt
Peloton Interactive: Back in the Saddle: Peloton Pedals Into Positive Growth
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy Peloton Interactive 17 May 2026
North America Reuters Bloomberg Rating Buy
United States PTON.OQ PTON US Price target (USD) 8.00 Price at 15 May 26 5.29
52-week range 9.00 – 3.71
TMT
Internet Valuation & Risks
Back in the Saddle: Peloton Pedals Into
Positive Growth KunalResearchMadhukar,Analyst CFA
+1-212-250-9357
Overall, in our view, F3Q26 results came in materially better than expected on
Benjamin Black, CFA both top line and FCF. However, given gross adds continue to be a key concern, Research Analyst
we think it may still be too soon in the turnaround plan to materially improve +1-212-250-9218
investor sentiment. That said, with churn moderating and the company
expanding monetization -- both internally, via higher subscription prices, and Benjamin Hui, Esq.
Research Associate externally through the high-margin SPOT distribution deal -- we continue to
+1-212-250-2064
believe there is potential for significant long-term upside from both estimate
revisions and multiple expansion as the new strategy plays through. We are Jeff Seiner, CFA
raising our estimates modestly; we reiterate our Buy rating and PT of $8, that is Research Associate
based on 8x our FY27E Adjusted EBITDA (unchanged). +1-212-250-8153
3Q FY26 results delivered a clean beat on revenue and FCF with material balance Raymond Wong
Research Associate sheet improvement. PTON reported Q3 FY26 Total Revenue of $631mn, up 1% +1-212-250-2060
y/y, materially above the $605-$625 guide and DBe/Street at $615/$617mn,
driven by outperformance in Connected Fitness equipment sales across both
Peloton and Precor brands. Both segment revenue beat our/Street ests;
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