GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Camtek: Tough comps, Limited upside
Research evidence excerpt
Camtek: Tough comps, Limited upside
that mix is smaller than at peers, subduing the **§ ==ConsensusBased on consensusdata is providedmethodologyby Refinitiv Estimates
company’s overall growth rate. e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
Quarterly EPS ($)
What did we like? China: As highlighted in our intra-quarter chat with CFO Moshe 2026e 2026e 2027e 2027e
Quarter 2025 Prior Current Prior Current
Eisenberg, CAMT is seeing solid momentum in China and expects another year of Q1 0.78 - 0.68a 1.17 1.14
growth following 84% y/y growth in 2025, when China represented 49% of revenue. Q2 0.79 0.80 0.77 1.21 1.20
Q3 0.83 1.01 0.98 1.25 1.23
Demand is being driven mainly by OSATs, particularly for CoWoS-like packaging and Q4 0.79 1.16 1.13 1.25 1.24
HBM-related applications. CAMT’s installed base and longstanding customer e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates, a = Actual Company reported data
relationships are driving incremental wins versus both local and Western peers.
HBM wins: Camtek announced orders and forecasts from two HBM manufacturers
exceeding $260mn for 2026/2027. Management indicated these are initial orders,
with room for upside. Camtek has been confident that the shift from HBM3E to
HBM4 would be beneficial for the company, and the orders are beginning to validate
that view. We are less confident on the transition to HBM4E and the introduction of
hybrid bonding, but Camtek has proved the doubters wrong on HBM.
What did we not like? 2026 growth profile: A higher 2025 base and customer mix
make Camtek’s 2026 growth rate look relatively underwhelming versus broader Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with
companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result,packaging/WFE. We would prefer to look ahead to 2027, but near-term numbers
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