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欧洲建材行业:从‘重返校园’系列演讲中获取的关键洞察
研报英文原文证据摘录
J P M O R G A N
Europe Equity Research
16 September 2026
European Building Materials
Key learnings from Back to School Speaker series
As part of our September Back to School Speaker Series, within the Building
Materials space we hosted the management teams of Sika, Holcim, Heidelberg, SaintGobain, Kingspan and Travis Perkins. More detail by stock can be found in the body
of the note, and overall commentary was indicative of the higher pricing impact
expected in Q3/H2 given actions implemented in Q2 and over the summer. Volumes
overall are trending well, though the UK remains challenged as well as China; Eastern
Europe is performing well and a pick-up in Asia was seen (as referenced by
Heidelberg); Holcim noted growth in Germany with Latin America also performing
well excl. Argentina. With regards to stocks, we came away reassured on our positive
catalyst watch on Holcim (OW) and Sika (OW), where we continue to see upside to
estimates. On a more cautious note, Heidelberg (OW) noted that in the US cement
market, it continues to be challenging to push cement pricing in light of sluggish
demand and import threats, which is a key risk for stocks in our sector with US cement
exposure, as we highlighted in our recent sector report (here). Saint-Gobain (OW)
noted there has been no improvement for extreme-weather related demand so far, but
reiterated nevertheless that it is expecting LFL sales growth in Americas with a slight
decline in margins in H2. Whilst we did not host Amrize (N), we note the negative read
across from the US cement and US roofing commentary (we had already placed on
negative watch). Finally, Kingspan (OW) has been under pressure recently on AI
newsflow, but we note that management were very confident with regards to its
backlog pointing to being able to issue 2027E guidance as a result of a longer-dated
backlog.
Reminder of key catalyst watch calls. As per our recent sector report (here),
we had placed (1) Holcim on Positive Catalyst Watch (23 Oct) as continued
stellar execution is likely to lead to further positive earnings surprises with a
potential guidance upgrade at Q3. We note that our estimates look for 13% LFL
…
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