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发布日期: 2026-09-15研究机构: JPMorgan报告页数: 9原文语言: English

研报英文原文证据摘录

J P M O R G A N

Global Economic Research

15 September 2026

Daily Financial Markets Monitor

Global stocks fell 0.4% today. US shares retreated 0.5%, while those in the

Euro area fell 0.3%. Japanese equities were little changed. Stocks in emerging

markets slipped 0.5% on net.

The 5-year Treasury yield added 1bp to 4.83%. Meanwhile, the 10-year

Treasury yield increased 1bp to 5.00% and the 30-year yield added 2bp to

5.37%.

The price of Brent crude oil moved up 2.8% to $108.64/bbl.

The trade-weighted dollar moved up 0.1% today. Meanwhile, the euro rose

0.1% and the yen weakened 0.4%.

Global equities

J.P.Morgan Global Economic Activity Surprise Index

Index

325

Index

40

30

275

20

225

10

0

175

-10

125

-20

75

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

-30

26

16

17

18

Source: J.P. Morgan

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

Government Debt

US Treasury yields

US Treasuries yield curve

Percent per annum; both scales

Yield curves: %.p.a.

5.3

4.8

4.3

3.8

3.3

2.8

2.3

1.8

1.3

0.8

0.3

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

0.0

10-year

2-year

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

UK

0.0

-1.0

3.0

-2.0

3.2

6.0

2.4

5.0

1.6

0.8

Germany

16

1.0

4.0

3m

2yr

5yr

10yr

30yr

Percent per annum, over 10-year German bund

Japan

14

2.0

5.0

European 10-year sovereign bond yields over 10-year German bunds

Percent per annum; both scales

12

3.0

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

10-year sovereign debt yields

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

-1

t-1y

Current

Bars: 1-day ch; bps

6.0

1m

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

t-2y

t-6m

18

20

22

24

Spain

4.0

Italy

3.0

2.0

0.0

1.0

-0.8

0.0

France

12

26

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

Global Credit and Money Markets

Euro area financials CDS spread

US fixed bank CP/CD minus US generic government 3-month yield

bp

325

bps

150

275

125

225

100

175

75

50

125

25

75

0

25

12

14

16

18

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

20

22

24

26

-25

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

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