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2026财年上半年销售符合预期,调整后净利润高于预期;下一个催化剂是ESMO上PD-1/VEGF的更新
研报英文原文证据摘录
Not for redistribution without written consent of Morgan Stanley
M
Update
August 21, 2026 02:20 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+
3SBio | Asia Pacific
Alexis Yan, CFA
Equity Analyst
1H26 Sales In-line, Adj. NP
Above; Next Catalyst PD-1/
VEGF Update at ESMO
3SBio (1530.HK, 1530 HK)
China Healthcare | China
AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction
Unchanged
In-line
Largely unchanged
Impact to our thesis
Financial results versus consensus
Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
Key Takeaways
1H product sales -19% YoY, in line with MSe, due to competition for legacy drugs
and VAT. CDMO revenue was +161% YoY, including '707 supply to Pfizer.
Adj. NP rose 26.5% YoY to Rmb1.44bn, above MSe, due to BD revenue and cost
control. Ex-BD, GPM was -5.2ppt, and SG&A/R&D ratios were -3.5/+6ppt YoY.
'707 will have China Phase II data in 1L NSCLC (+chemo) presented at ESMO. Two
more Ph3 trial starts by Pfizer in 2H26 will trigger milestones to 3SBio.
New products (3 approved YTD, 5 in NDA) and overseas expansion to buffer
existing drug pressures, but will take time for total drug sales to resume growth.
3SBio had Rmb19.4bn cash and financial assets as of Jun'26, leaving flexibility for
new product sourcing, R&D spending and shareholder returns.
Stock Rating
Industry View
Price target
Up/downside to price target (%)
Shr price, close (Aug 20, 2026)
52-Week Range
Sh out, dil, curr (mn)
Mkt cap, curr (mn)
EV, curr (mn)
Overweight
Attractive
HK$30.50
85
HK$16.50
HK$36.80-14.81
2,538
Rmb35,913
Rmb21,856
Fiscal Year Ending
12/25 12/26e 12/27e 12/28e
EPS (Rmb)**
Revenue, net (Rmb mn)
EBITDA (Rmb mn)
ModelWare net inc
(Rmb mn)
P/E
P/BV
RNOA (%)
ROE (%)
EV/EBITDA
Div yld (%)
FCF yld ratio (%)
Leverage (EOP) (%)
3.47
17,696
10,772
8,482
1.22
9,373
3,675
3,094
1.19
9,242
3,510
3,032
1.28
9,899
3,732
3,261
6.3
2.0
39.1
54.9
3.6
1.1
12.7
(48.4)
11.6
1.2
12.8
11.4
5.0
0.0
6.5
(55.7)
11.8
1.1
12.6
9.9
4.6
0.0
3.2
(58.1)
11.0
1.0
12.8
9.7
3.4
0.0
6.0
(62.7)
Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare
framework
** = Based on consensus methodology
e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
…
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