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欧洲体育用品:第二季度总结——艰难的一个季度,但断言结构性放缓还为时过早
研报英文原文证据摘录
J P M O R G A N
Europe Equity Research
21 August 2026
European Sporting Goods
Q2 Wrap – a tough quarter but too early to call a
structural slowdown
Q2 has been a tough reporting season for the European Sporting Goods companies.
Limited guidance upgrades (and a few downgrades) have weighed on the sector,
with adidas -12%, On -20%, Puma -5% and JD Sports -14% on their results days.
Growth is slowing as brands prioritise full-price DTC sales in a highly promotional
market. On the other hand, a DTC-led growth model comes with a cost, especially
as brands stepped up marketing and activations to drive online and store traffic. Our
discussions with investors so far clearly indicate concerns about a structural
slowdown in sector profit growth. While we do not expect market conditions to
improve materially over the next two quarters, there is limited evidence to
conclude that there is a structural slowdown in footwear demand. Meanwhile, JD
Sports’ update yesterday suggests that inventory remains controlled and both
brands and retailers look disciplined on supply. We see scope for wholesale order
growth to re-accelerate into Q4-26 and 2027 as newness builds (notably at adidas
and On), and upcoming CMDs should remind investors that newness pipelines
remain solid into the new year. Meanwhile, expectations have reset into Q3
following recent results. We remain OW on adidas and On.
European Luxury & Sporting Goods
Wendy Liu AC
(44-20) 3493-9733
J.P. Morgan Securities plc
Chiara Battistini
(39-02) 8895-2700
J.P. Morgan Securities plc/ J.P. Morgan Securities
(Asia Pacific) Limited
Apurva Vishwaraj
J.P. Morgan Securities plc
Victoria Saden
(44-20) 3493-0435
J.P. Morgan Securities plc
Specialist Sales contact details:
(44-20) 3493-3709
How promotional is the market? A quick look at the Online channel: We
ran a small “discount breadth” screen (share of products on markdown) across
brand.com and key multi-brand sites (JD Sports, Foot Locker) in the US, UK
and France (see Figure 3 to Figure 11). Discounts appear broad-based across
channels, suggesting consumers have ample choice before trading up to fullprice. On and adidas screen among the least discounted on multi-brand
…
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