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资产质量保持稳定;维持标配评级:海湾合作委员会银行
研报英文原文证据摘录
FICC Research
Credit Research
20 August 2026
GCC banks
Asset quality holding up; stay
Market Weight
GCC banks delivered resilient Q2 results despite the ongoing
conflict, with limited impact from deferrals. Strong capital
and liquidity buffers continue to support the sector. We see
select trading opportunities in Qatar and UAE bank debt,
where valuations compensate for risk.
Trade ideas:
• Perps: Buy CBQKQD 6.25% perps outright or as a switch from NTBKKK 6.375% perps
• Tier 2s: Buy FABUH 36s Tier 2s; Sell NTBKKK 36s Tier 2s
• Seniors: Buy COMQAT 30s and EBIUH 5.125% 31s; Sell FABUH 5% 2031s
Key ratings changes:
• Upgrade: CBQ/COMQAT (OW from MW), FABUH (MW from UW)
• Downgrade: NTBKKK and ADCBUH (MW from OW)
Geopolitical risks persist, but sovereign buffers remain supportive
Geopolitics continue to be the key risk for the GCC credit complex given disruptions of trade in
the Strait of Hormuz1 . Banks we cover operate in UAE, Kuwait and Qatar. Of the three, Qatar
appears the most exposed, given limited near-term alternatives for LNG export routes and lower
sovereign buffers than Kuwait and the UAE. Kuwait looks somewhat less vulnerable, supported
by stronger sovereign buffers, while the UAE appears the least exposed of the three, benefiting
from its ability to partially bypass Hormuz, a more diversified economy and substantial
sovereign buffers2 .
The UAE sovereign wealth funds manage a combined c.$2.4trn in assets (as of April 2026)3 , in
addition to the UAE Central Bank FX reserves at $252bn (May 2026)4 . Kuwait's sovereign wealth
fund, the Kuwait Investment Authority, has c.$1.1trn5 of assets under management, alongside
This document is intended for institutional investors and is not subject to all of the
independence and disclosure standards applicable to debt research reports prepared for retail
investors under U.S. FINRA Rule 2242. Barclays trades the securities covered in this report for its
own account and on a discretionary basis on behalf of certain clients. Such trading interests
may be contrary to the recommendations offered in this report.
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