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BIM 2Q'26 初步看法——最佳交付,市场份额增长
研报英文原文证据摘录
J P M O R G A N
CEEMEA Equity Research
17 August 2026
BIM
Overweight
2Q’26 First Take – Best-in-class delivery, market share
gains
Our Take: BIM delivered a clear best-in-class Q2, outperforming peers on both
top line and profitability: 10% real revenue growth (vs. Migros 3%, Sok 7%) and
9% EBITDA growth (vs. Migros -20%, Sok +5%), with results 35–40% ahead of
JPMe/consensus driven by stronger monetary gains and slightly better EBITDA.
The print reinforces continued market share gains, supported by basket growth,
ongoing space expansion, and a return to positive traffic. While gross margin eased
(consistent with consumer trade-down), the combination of strong revenue growth
suggests BIM is pivoting back toward revenue maximization and more assertive
pricing, further pressuring peers amid slowing consumption. Guidance was
reiterated (4-8% real revenue growth; 6-7% EBITDA margin, similar to 2025), but
strong 1H delivery leaves room for upside on revenues despite softening demand
in Türkiye. Shares are up 42% YTD (+28% in USD), outperforming the index by
14%, yet valuation remains attractive at 10.7x JPMe 2027 P/E and 5.3x preinflation 2026E EV/EBITDA, implying a ~27% discount to CEE peers. We expect
a positive market reaction.
BIMAS.IS, BIMAS TI
Price (17 Aug 26):TL382.00
Price Target (Dec-27):TL529.00
Turkey (ex-Financials)
Hanzade Kilickiran AC
(44 20) 7742 0014
J.P. Morgan Securities plc
Table 1: 2Q’26 Actual vs Consensus/JPMe – Inflation Adjusted (TAS 29)
TL m
Net Sales
EBITDA
Net Profit
2Q26A
221,903
13,570
8,020
Cons
218,639
12,671
5,714
JPMe
215,651
12,934
5,959
Vs Cons
1%
7%
40%
Vs JPMe
3%
5%
35%
% y/y
10%
9%
125%
% q/q
-3%
25%
16%
Source: Company reports and J.P. Morgan estimates. *Consensus estimates have been compiled by Rasyonet.
Noteworthy Areas: 1)LFL sales grew 37.3% y/y in 2Q26, ahead of BIM’s
31% internal inflation, driven by 36.7% basket growth, while traffic turned
positive at +0.4% after several quarters of decline. Space expansion continued
at 5% y/y, with 275 net store openings bringing the total to 14,851. 2) FILE’s
share of revenues rose to 11% (vs 10% a year ago), supportive of elevated
…
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