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技嘉科技(2376.TW):2026年第二季度业绩超预期,得益于运营支出和外汇收益;因云业务强劲可见性,上调目标价至新台币595元
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14 Aug 2026 13:30:35 ET │ 14 pages
Gigabyte Technology (2376.TW)
2Q26 Beat on Opex & FX Gains; Raise TP to NT$595 on Robust NeoClouds Visibility
CITI'S TAKE
Gigabyte’s 2Q26 net profit beat Citi/cons forecasts by 50%/21%, driven by
tighter opex control and non-ops, even as GPM missed on a richer AI server
mix. Mgmt. guided 2H26E revenue growth to outpace 1H26 on robust neoclouds demand, with GPM set to recover as VGA enters seasonal peak and
mix improves further. The board also approved a GDR issuance of up to 50m
shares and lifted 2026 capex guidance, reaffirming confidence in the
capacity buildout. We raise 2026E-28E earnings forecasts by 28-46% and
lift our TP to NT$595, based on c.14x 2027E EPS (rolled over from 17x 2026E
EPS) to factor in AI server-driven margin dilution. Reiterate Buy.
2Q26 results beat on opex & non-ops — Gigabyte reported 2Q26 net profit of
NT$6.6bn (+25% QoQ/+117% YoY), beating Citi/cons forecasts by 50%/21%,
primarily driven by better-than-expected opex control and non-ops. 2Q26 GPM
came in at 9.6% (-2.4ppts QoQ/+0.2ppt YoY), below expectations, mainly due to a
higher-than-expected AI server mix. That said, opex ratio of 4.0% also undershot
expectations, implying leverage embedded in scaling AI server business. Non-ops
included FX gain of c.NT$880mn, providing an additional boost to the bottom line.
2H26E guidance raised on neo-clouds demand — Mgmt. guided for 2H26E
revenue growth to outpace 1H26, mainly on the back of robust demand from neoclouds, echoing our constructive view. We now expect 3Q26 revenue growth of 8%
QoQ, with 4Q26 revenue to be further boosted by ramping AI server shipment. GPM
guidance also points to sequential improvement, supported by better mix and VGA
entering its seasonal peak. Additionally, the board approved a GDR issuance of up
to 50m shares (timing yet to be determined), which we view as preparation for future
working capital needs amid the capacity expansion. Mgmt. also raised 2026 capex
guidance to NT$28-30bn (from NT$23-25bn), reaffirming confidence in demand
visibility and the pace of capacity buildout.
n
Buy
Catalyst Watch: Upside, expires 17-AUG-26
Price (14 Aug 26 13:30)
NT$397.50
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