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欧洲CLO:经理人AAA级分散化的机会
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14 Aug 2026 13:10:34 ET │ 8 pages
European CLOs
Opportunity in Manager Triple-A Dispersion
CITI'S TAKE
EUR CLO triple-As which had lagged the rally in IG mezz are finding their feet
with demand from asset managers, including the growing ETF segment. We
find manager performance from our regular Citi EUR CLO Scorecard or their
AUM are not always reflected in liability pricing. The dispersion leaves
spread pick-up opportunities for investors.
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Ratul Roy AC
Jovita Li AC
Triple-A catching buyer attention — Triple-A spreads did not see the tightening
that IG mezz enjoyed in the early part of the year (Figure 1) but are beginning to not
look so cheap, with the premium to triple-B being the most prominent. The search
for yield by IG buyers also led to triple-As underperforming mezz as far as YTD
returns are concerned (Figure 2). More recently, however, the relative value in the
senior bonds that we highlighted in Global CLO Market 2026 H1 Update have finally
caught buyers’ attention including the small but growing EUR CLO ETF market. To
re-iterate our earlier point, floating rate senior bonds not only appeal during times
of rising rates but also offer credit protection in current times of macro uncertainty.
Dispersion in new issue only partly to do with “new” manager or AUM — The
pricing in the new issue market shows that dispersion has increased (Figure 3). To
some extent this has to do with the number of newer EUR CLO managers. While a
healthy proportion of new managers have loan platforms and experience of CLO
management in US, investors will typically expect a new manager discount (even if
new managers will typically start with conservative pools). Despite these rational
preferences, we find that AAA pricing only correlates loosely with AUM. We also find
more experienced managers can price new deals at the wider end, even though they
have improved tail risk (based on change in junior OC cushion; see Figure 4) for their
existing deals. This should signal opportunities for buyers if they can pick up a few
more basis points for signs of an improving credit management story.
Poor pre-reset history vs. spread pick-up and seniority — Legacy deals that have
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