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The Point for North America
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The Point for North America
Tuesday, 11 August 2026
Morning Call Highlights | Company | Industry | Economics & Strategy | Fixed Income & FX | Key Rating
and Target Price Changes
Morning Call Highlights
Must Read
MongoDB Inc (MDB.O) - When Flexibility Drives Acceleration; Re-issuing +ve
Catalyst Watch
North America - Road Ahead 2H26
We are reissuing our positive catalyst watch on MongoDB as it continues to see
significant positive estimate revisions, and numerous positive catalysts ahead
(earnings, product + Citi conference, and investor day). We remain confident in our
street high Atlas estimates for Q2/FY27 of ~30% Y/Y growth and raise our total
revenue estimates on stronger EA trends. Our intra-Q field work suggests broadbased momentum. Top-of-funnel trends appear to be further improving with
download activity meaningfully accelerating in Q2. AI native/lab momentum
continues to build with new logos and expanding use cases. In the note we also
explore the agentic memory opportunity, which along with hyperscale portability
and flexible schema only increase MDB’s strategic positioning. We raise our
estimates and lift TP to $545(11x F28 EV/Sales). We reiterate our Buy/HR rating.
Tyler Radke | Yitchuin Wong
Quarterly Trend into F2Q27 Set-Up
The Agent Memory Layer
Current Quarter
$ in millions, except per share
Q- 4
Q- 3
Q- 2
Q- 1
Citi
Cons.
Guidance
Subscription Revenue
%YoY Subscription
% beat/(miss) v. Cons.
%YoY Growth acceleration
2QA
572.4
23%
7.0%
2%
3QA
609.1
19%
6.1%
(4%)
4QA
673.1
27%
3.6%
8%
1QA
666.1
25%
3.6%
(1%)
2QE
725.9
27%
2QE
712.0
24%
1%
(1%)
Atlas Revenue
%YoY Atlas
% beat/(miss) v. Cons.
%YoY Growth acceleration
439.0
29%
5.0%
3%
470.4
30%
3.2%
0%
502.6
29%
1.5%
(1%)
512.5
29%
2.7%
0%
568.5
30%
553.6
26%
0%
(3%)
Enterprise Advanced
%YoY EA
120.2
8%
121.8
(5%)
141.4
16%
139.9
20%
145.8
21%
144.8
20%
Total Revenue
%YoY Total Revenue
%YoY Growth acceleration
591.4
24%
2%
628.3
19%
(5%)
695.1
27%
8%
687.6
25%
(2%)
748.4
27%
1%
735.2
24%
(1%)
729 - 734
23% - 24%
EBIT
% EBIT margin
86.8
15%
123.1
20%
158.8
23%
123.2
18%
158.9
21%
155.5
21%
152 - 156
20.9% - 21.3%
Net income
% Net margin
87.2
15%
114.5
18%
142.7
21%
112.3
16%
144.0
19%
138.9
…
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