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Earnings set-up keeps getting better, Reiterate Buy
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Divis Laboratories
Earnings set-up keeps getting better,
Reiterate Buy
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 8,920 INR | Price: 8,056 INR
Strong start to FY27 with positive commentary
02 August 2026
Divi’s reported a solid qtr with revenue growth at 28% YoY (vs. 14% est) largely driven
by 45% growth in custom synthesis business as company indicated validation batches
for all 3 capex projects being supplied during the qtr. The higher custom synthesis
contribution at 60% (vs. 55% in FY26) along with likely superior margins for validation
supplies drove gross margins at 68% despite cost headwinds due to West Asia conflict.
This drove the large EBITDA beat (Rs12.5Bn vs. Rs8.5-9Bn est) with 41% margins. The
lumpiness in CDMO business does make it tough to extrapolate the trends, but the
positive commentary on dedicated capex, peptide expansion, generic APIs, etc. does
provide confidence on improving growth momentum over the next few years. We revise
our FY27-28E EPS by 8%/2% (details in Ex-7) and reiterate Buy with revised PO of Rs
8920 (vs. Rs7500, roll-fwd by 6 months, 50x vs. 49x previously).
Equity
Key standouts over the call
There were multiple positive developments highlighted during the earnings call, which
should drive earning upgrade in street estimates (FY28 BofAe ~10% higher). These
developments also address concerns sacu/val moderation in FY27 weighing on CS
growth till the new projects ramp-up. These include – a) Dedicated capex projects
tracking ahead of expectations (ongoing validations for all three projects) implying
commercial supplies staring end FY27 vs. our expectation of supplies being 2HFY28
weighted, b) Multiple peptide projects in pipeline with some fragments being validated
& commentary on meaningful capacity addition (multiple 3000L SPSS being installed)
reflecting demand visibility from customers; c) Signing of long-term agreements for
iodine based contrast media with 2 customers for substantial quantities (one started &
2nd in a few months); d) 4 Gx API DMFs filed with multiple customers undertaking
qualification & commercial supplies for one of the products likely over next 3-6 months.
Estimates (Mar) (Rs)
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