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2Q26 Resi REIT Earnings Weekly Recap: AMH, CPT, ESS, INVH, MAA, SUI & UDR
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Residential REITs
2Q26 Resi REIT Earnings Weekly Recap:
AMH, CPT, ESS, INVH, MAA, SUI & UDR
Price Objective Change
Resi week 2 earnings: all 7 beat Street, 5 raised ’26 guide
Residential REIT results were broadly positive, with five companies beating and raising
2026 guidance (AMH, INVH, ESS, SUI and UDR), while CPT and MAA posted modest FFO
beats but left full year guidance unchanged. MAA slightly lowered its revenue guide.
Earnings upside was driven largely by expense discipline and stronger NOI growth, while
leasing trends improved through the quarter and into July. Despite improving operating
trends, most REITs made only modest changes to same store revenue and NOI
assumptions, with guidance increases generally driven by better cost control and capital
recycling. Additionally, in 2Q, several REITs were active in the capital markets with
acquisitions/dispositions and share repurchases.
Leasing trends improved in June & July vs Nareit update
INVH and AMH both showed improvement in blended rent growth at +2.7%, up from
their NAREIT update, and AMH July new lease growth accelerated further to +1.6% and
+3.3% renewals. Apartment REITs also generally reported modest improvements in
June/July vs. April/May. Positively, apartment peak leasing season has extended longer vs.
in 2025. CPT and MAA expect 3Q blended rate growth to exceed 2Q based on
momentum in leasing, which historically is against the seasonal trend. CPT expects
blended rent growth of 1%+ in 2H26 as renewal increases have improved. Turnover
continues to reach new lows. We will continue to monitor third party rent data.
Controllable opex, RE taxes & insurance drive FFO
Lower-than-expected expense growth drove much of the quarter's earnings upside. AMH
reported SS expense growth of +1.7% vs our +3.9%, while INVH reported +1.9% vs our
+3.8%. SUI increased NOI guidance entirely through lower expense assumptions. This
was also a common theme among apartment REITs, supporting guidance increases.
Capital allocation remains active; buybacks continue
CPT completed its Southern California Portfolio sale for $1.625 billion at a 5.6% sellers
cap rate / 5.3% buyers cap rate.…
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