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Post 2Q: 2027 setting up very well; PO to $172
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AptarGroup Inc.
Post 2Q: 2027 setting up very well; PO to
$172
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 172.00 USD | Price: 133.82 USD
Pharma mo’ should build, Beauty/Closure should grow
31 July 2026
We reiterate our Buy on AptarGroup (ATR) as valuation remains attractive and difficult
emergency medicine (EMed) destocking comps are near completion. While we would
love to see better earnings trends in Closures and Beauty, ATR should grow EPS by
10%+ in 2027 if these segments grow EBITDA and Pharma regains its footing. Our
earlier Flash has 2Q details – please see here. Incremental: (a) ATR's new injectable
therapies collaborative framework focuses on customer engagement and speeding
development timelines given the growth in biologics, GLP-1s, etc.; (b) Management
indicated that EMed destocking (2/3 already done) should abate by 4Q; (c) Ex. tooling,
Food vols. are healthy, consistent with increased consumer eat-at-home trends visible
this reporting season; (d) Like Silgan (SLGN, Buy), ATR called out weak Brazil trends. This
could persist given our research; (e) FX is a 2c headwind in earnings at current rates.
Equity
Changing of the guard: Tanda retires, Touya becomes CEO
As reported earlier, CEO Stephan Tanda will retire after serving in the role since 2017,
with Pharma President Gael Touya becoming CEO on 9/1. In our view, Tanda helped to
reinvigorate growth at ATR and, along with Touya, transformed Pharma into a broader
service provider to the sector, developing ATR’s bench while leading in sustainability.
Touya is a 30-year Aptar veteran whose leadership roles have spanned Pharma, Food &
Beverage, Beauty and Asia. We wish both well in their next career chapters.
Key Changes
(US$)
Previous
Price Obj.
173.00
Current
172.00
2026E Rev (m)
3,957.9
3,937.4
2027E Rev (m)
4,055.0
4,015.0
2028E Rev (m)
4,215.0
4,186.2
2026E EPS
5.55
5.50
2027E EPS
6.30
6.20
2028E EPS
7.10
7.05
2026E EBITDA (m)
829.6
825.9
2027E EBITDA (m)
897.6
895.4
2028E EBITDA (m)
958.6
961.8
George L. Staphos
Research Analyst
BofAS
Trim ests modestly on Brazil, currency. PO to $172 (-$1)
Looking ahead, 3Q EPS guidance is $1.45-1.53. We lower our forecast from $1.55 to
…
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