Risk Reward Update

研报英文原文证据摘录

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M

Update

August 7, 2026 03:35 PM GMT

Morgan Stanley Europe S.E., Madrid Branch+

Banco Comercial Portugues SA | Europe

Alvaro Serrano

Equity Analyst

Risk Reward Update

Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+

Gulnara Saitkulova

What’s Changed

Equity Analyst

Banco Comercial Portugues SA (BCP.LS)

From

To

Price Target

€0.96

€1.02

Bull Case

€1.10

€1.17

Banco Comercial Portugues SA (BCP.LS, BCP PL)

Base Case

€0.96

€1.02

Banks | Portugal

Bear Case

€0.48

€0.51

Updated Components

EPS

Investment Thesis

Bull Base Bear Scenarios

Stock Rating

Industry View

Price target

Shr price, close (Aug 6, 2026)

52-Week Range

Fiscal Year Ending

Risk Reward for Banco Comercial Portugues SA (BCP.LS) has

been updated

Reason for change

EPS (€)**

Prior EPS (€)**

Equal-weight

Attractive

€1.02

€1.10

€1.11-0.70

12/25 12/26e 12/27e 12/28e

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.10

Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare

framework

** = Based on consensus methodology

e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates

Following upgraded guidance and continued resilient trends in Portugal, we raise

our NII outlook by 3%, driving a 6-7% increase in our outer-year net income

estimates. We also raise our price target to EUR 1.02 from EUR 0.96. We remain

Equal-weight.

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investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of

interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley

Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley

Research as only a single factor in making their investment

decision.