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Warby Parker (WRBY.N): Another Weak Qtr; F26 Reiterated (But Now Includes Refund Benefits) and Weak 3Q Guide; No Details on AI Glasses
研报英文原文证据摘录
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06 Aug 2026 08:21:48 ET │ 11 pages
Warby Parker (WRBY.N)
Another Weak Qtr; F26 Reiterated (But Now Includes Refund Benefits)
and Weak 3Q Guide; No Details on AI Glasses
CITI'S TAKE
Neutral
Sales were +9.8% ($235.5MM) vs cons +11.0% ($237.8MM) and at the
low-end of guidance $235-238MM. Adj EBITDA was $32.9MM (including
$11.8MM benefit from tariff refunds) vs cons $28.9MM. Mgmt indicated
they used some of the tariff refund to invest in the business prior to the
Intelligent Eyewear launch. We don't know for sure about how much was
reinvested vs flowed through, but ex the tariff refund (all else equal), Adj
EBITDA margin would have declined 260bps (vs guidance of a ~40bps
increase). Active Customer growth decelerated to +4.1% in 2Q26 vs +4.8%
in 1Q26, and on a per store basis was -11.3% vs -10.6% in 1Q26. Mgmt
reiterated their guidance, but it now includes a $14.4MM benefit from
tariff refunds (with a portion reinvested in the business). We expect shares
to be down on the weak customer growth, guidance now including
refunds and lack of detail on AI glasses.
Short-Term View: Downside, expires 22-AUG-26
Price (05 Aug 26 16:00)
US$29.27
Target price
US$24.00
Expected share price return
-18.0%
Expected dividend yield
0.0%
Expected total return
-18.0%
Market Cap
US$3,592M
Paul Lejuez, CFA, CPAAC
Brandon Cheatham, CFA
The Qtr — Sales +9.8% vs cons +11.0% and our est of +12.3%. Adj EBITDA of
$32.9M was above consensus of $28.9M but includes a $11.8MM tariff refund
benefit. GM +390bps (-110bps excluding the tariff refund benefit) vs our est of
+40bps. SG&A $ +13.8% vs our est of +9.6%; Adj SG&A deleveraged 180bps vs our
est of 120bps leverage. Active customers were +4.1% vs our est +5.3%. Sales per
customer were +6.6% vs our est of +6.0%. Without the tariff refund in 2Q (all else
equal), Adj EBITDA margin would have declined 260bps.
Tracy Kogan
Kimberly Hong
Guidance — Mgmt reiterated their F26 sales guide of +10-12% ($959-976MM) vs
cons +12.4%, and adj EBITDA of $117-119MM (12.2% margin) vs cons of $121MM
(12.3% margin). However, guidance now includes a $14.4MM tariff refund benefit,
which management indicated is being used to offset investments in the business as
…
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