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Advanced Info (ADVANC.BK): 2Q26 A Slight Beat: Firm Revenue & Effective Cost Control
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06 Aug 2026 08:14:52 ET │ 14 pages
Advanced Info (ADVANC.BK)
2Q26 A Slight Beat: Firm Revenue & Effective Cost Control
CITI'S TAKE
AIS' delivered a firm 1H26 with NPAT at ~51% of Street full year
estimates. While revenue momentum had been marginally better vs. True,
partly aided by EPL content switch and AIS enterprise segment gains, the
main star in our view lay with its cost management. This allowed EBITDA
margins expand 1ppt QoQ/5ppts YoY. As such, AIS had delivered a +2%
QoQ/+25% YoY expansion in 2Q profits in a seasonally softer period. We
do expect earnings momentum to temper into 2H26 in light of
programmed expenditures, investment losses from new ventures and the
interest drag from its outsized dividend payment in end April. We raise our
estimates by 5-6% and lift our TP from Bt386 to Bt390. While
performance remains admirable, we keep the stock at Neutral with FY27
valuations at a premium 10x EBITDA and yields compressed to 4.5% which
is supportive but not impressive.
Neutral
Catalyst Watch: Upside, expires 20-AUG-26
Price (06 Aug 26 17:25)
Bt376.00
Target price
Bt390.00↑
from Bt386.00
Expected share price return
3.7%
Expected dividend yield
4.5%
Expected total return
8.2%
Market Cap
Bt1,118,303M
US$33,755M
Arthur PinedaAC
Healthy revenue trends with marginal QoQ share gains — Operating trends had
been healthy with earlier concerns of consumption declines helped offset by
government subsidies into 2Q. Moreover AIS had marginally outperformed True in
2Q with mobile revenues (+0.9% QoQ vs. +0.6% QoQ) and broadband (+0.7% QoQ
vs. +0.1%) driving slightly faster. Gains were however most pronounced on
enterprise (+12%QoQ) where AIS saw enhanced demand in contrast to True
although we caveat its lumpy nature. We see consumer market competition as
relatively benign with both operators seeing positive organic ARPU trends. This
rational state is likely to sustain into 2H26.
Luis Hilado
Cost controls further drive earnings momentum — EBITDA growth (+2%
QoQ/+9% YoY) had outpaced revenue growth. This was driven by effective cost
controls allowing for EBITDA margin expansion (+1.2% QoQ/+5.1% YoY). Marketing
…
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