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Wynn Resorts (WYNN.O): Macau Strength and Healthy Las Vegas Demand; Al Marjan Set for September 2027 Opening
研报英文原文证据摘录
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05 Aug 2026 06:53:54 ET │ 17 pages
Wynn Resorts (WYNN.O)
Macau Strength and Healthy Las Vegas Demand; Al Marjan Set for
September 2027 Opening
CITI'S TAKE
WYNN continues to show that while its premium product and premium
consumer are not immune from broader economic pressures, they are
clearly better insulated from them. 2Q was another strong quarter across
the company’s developed markets, while the announced date for Wynn Al
Marjan removes at least a portion of uncertainty out of the outlook. We
continue to see WYNN shares as among the most concentrated expressions
of a K-shaped economy, although investors will need to remain patient to
reap the rewards. Maintain Buy with an updated $135 TP.
WYNN reported 2Q26 Consolidated Adjusted Property EBITDAR of $568M, which
was above our estimate of $540M (-2%) and above the Street's $554M (flat).
2Q26 net revenues of $1.86B were +7% y/y, above our $1.82B estimate (+5%) and
above Street's $1.83B estimate (+5%). Consolidated Adjusted Property EBITDAR
margin of 30.6% (-120 bps y/y) was above our estimate of 29.6%.
Las Vegas Operations Adjusted Property EBITDAR was $215M vs. the Street's
$216M. Consolidated Macau EBITDAR was $297M vs. the Street's $283M. Encore
Boston Harbor Adjusted Property EBITDAR was $56.1M vs. the Street's $55M.
n
Buy
Price (04 Aug 26 16:00)
US$97.60
Target price
US$135.00↑
from US$132.00
Expected share price return
38.3%
Expected dividend yield
1.0%
Expected total return
39.3%
Market Cap
US$10,130M
Price Performance
(RIC: WYNN.O, BB: WYNN US)
Wynn Al Marjan Island is now scheduled to open in September 2027. The total
project budget was increased by approximately $600M. Approximately half of the
increase was attributed directly to regional-conflict effects, with the remainder due
to project remeasurement, trade coordination and other costs.
Our 2026 consolidated property EBITDAR estimate is up $36M to 2.31B. This
consists of an unchanged Vegas estimate ($858M from $857M), a meaningful
increase in Macau (primarily Wynn Palace), and a lower Boston Harbor assumption.
As we look to 2027, we are reintroducing a nominal contribution from the Al Marjan
…
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