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AbbVie (ABBV.N):2Q26每股收益电话会议要点:销量需求支持上调指引,但管线深度仍需加强
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31 Jul 2026 12:28:30 ET │ 11 pages
AbbVie (ABBV.N)
2Q26 EPS call takeaways: Volume demand supports guidance raise, but
pipeline depth still needs work
CITI'S TAKE
AbbVie delivered another strong quarter (revs: +$218M vs. VA cons; nonGAAP diluted EPS: +$0.04/sh), though ABBV shares are seeing intra-day
weakness (-2%; DRG: -2%; S&P500: -0.2%) despite a $300M raised 2026
revenue guidance as the magnitude of Skyrizi/Rinvoq outperformance
continues to compress sequentially. Competition from J&J’s Tremfya and
Icotyde remains central to the Skyrizi debate, though SC induction should
further fuel IBD momentum, primarily in 2027. Broader IL-23 class
expansion in psoriasis is also supportive, with most Icotyde share coming
from existing orals, including Bristol’s Sotyktu and Amgen’s Otezla.
Outside of I&I, neuroscience helped drive the quarterly upside, with
Vraylar gaining share and Vyalev on track for blockbuster sales in 2026.
Still, continued BD is likely needed to supplement the early- and latestage pipeline and sustain Street interest despite the upcoming
tavapadon launch and α4β7 + Skyrizi and lutikizumab data. Maintain
Neutral and $260 TP.
Guidance raise reflects demand, while Apogee dilutes EPS — 2026 revenue
guidance increased $300M to $67.6B, including $100M each from Skyrizi,
neuroscience, and combined Rinvoq and Venclexta momentum. Skyrizi and Rinvoq
still face LSD% pricing pressure, confirming that the update is demand-driven. NonGAAP diluted EPS guidance declined $0.04/sh at midpoint, as $0.14/sh of expected
Apogee dilution more than offset $0.10/sh of underlying outperformance.
Neutral
Price (30 Jul 26 16:00)
Target price
Expected share price
return
Expected dividend yield
Expected total return
Market Cap
Geoff Meacham, Ph.D.AC
Jarwei Fang
Nishant Gandhi, Ph.D.
Mary Kate Davis
Skyrizi competition looks manageable for now — Skyrizi NBRx growth has
accelerated since Icotyde’s launch, with most Icotyde share coming from existing
oral therapies rather than biologics. Growth is now balanced between psoriasis and
IBD, where UC and Crohn’s continue expanding the IL-23 class. SC induction could
…
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