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AbbVie (ABBV.N):2026年第二季度初步看法:Skyvog组合增长依然健康
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31 Jul 2026 08:26:03 ET │ 11 pages
AbbVie (ABBV.N)
Initial thoughts on 2Q26: Skyvoq duo growth remains healthy
CITI'S TAKE
AbbVie’s 2Q26 results included total revenues of $17B (+$218M vs. VA
cons) and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $3.65/sh (+$0.04/sh). Skyrizi ($5.5B;
+$62M) and Rinvoq ($2.5B; +$38M) remain the key drivers, with
continued volume growth reinforcing the durability of the I&I franchise
despite LSD% pricing pressure and rising competition. That said,
magnitude of the beats are compressing over time (Skyrizi 2Q25: +10%;
2Q26: +1%). Elsewhere, Vraylar ($1.1B; +$79M) and Vyalev ($256M; +$8M)
support neuroscience growth, while Botox Cosmetic ($728M; +$23M)
remains relatively stable and Juvederm ($245M; -$4M) continues to face a
softer market. Humira ($756M; +$22M) erosion remains manageable
within the broader portfolio, while Imbruvica ($532M; -$27M) continues
to weigh on oncology. Overall, Skyrizi / Rinvoq execution remains the
central earnings driver, while Apogee adds longer-duration I&I optionality
without changing the need for continued pipeline and BD execution.
Maintain Neutral and $260 TP.
AbbVie is hosting its 2Q26 EPS call today at 9am ET (dial-in: 800-330-6710;
conference ID: 8110877; webcast here).
Neutral
Price (30 Jul 26 16:00)
Target price
Expected share price
return
Expected dividend yield
Expected total return
Market Cap
Geoff Meacham, Ph.D.AC
Jarwei Fang
Nishant Gandhi, Ph.D.
Skyrizi / Rinvoq durability anchors the quarter, while BD and pipeline execution
frame what comes next — Updated 2026 guidance now calls for non-GAAP diluted
EPS of $13.87/sh-$14.07/sh (-$0.04/sh), inclusive of a $0.14/sh dilution related to
the proposed Apogee acquisition. We expect key themes on the call to include: 1)
Skyrizi and Rinvoq volume durability through pricing pressure, including Skyrizi’s
competitive position against J&J's Tremfya and Icotyde and timing for SC induction
in Crohn’s; 2) capital deployment following the Apogee acquisition and the appetite
for additional BD across I&I, obesity, neuroscience, oncology, and dermatology; 3)
neuroscience portfolio evolution, including Vyalev uptake and how oral CGRPs,
…
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