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NatWest Group PLC (NWG.L): 2Q26 PBT Beat But With Weaker NIM, FY26 Guidance Increased For Evelyn, Earlier Buyback Restart
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NatWest Group PLC (NWG.L): 2Q26 PBT Beat But With Weaker NIM, FY26 Guidance Increased For Evelyn, Earlier Buyback Restart
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31 Jul 2026 02:59:34 ET │ 11 pages
NatWest Group PLC (NWG.L)
2Q26 PBT Beat But With Weaker NIM, FY26 Guidance Increased For
Evelyn, Earlier Buyback Restart
CITI'S TAKE Buy
Price (30 Jul 26 16:30) £6.84 2Q26 underlying PBT (ex litigation, but including other 'notable items') of
Target price £8.20 £2.3bn is 12% ahead of company-compiled consensus. Revenues are 3%
ahead, with NII 1% light but non-NII 14% ahead, while opex is in-line and Expected share price return 19.9%
impairments 40% better. Group NIM was +2bps qoq but -2bps below Expected dividend yield 5.4%
consensus. CET1 ratio of 13.2% is -110bps qoq post Evelyn completion but Expected total return 25.3%
10bps ahead of consensus, and TBVPS of 359p is -10% qoq and 1% below Market Cap £54,466M
consensus. 2026 guidance has been increased, but seemingly only for the US$73,345M
the Evelyn acquisition, rather than any underlying improvement, with
Natwest now guiding to £17.9bn of revenues. We continue to think this
will be surpassed. Importantly buybacks will now restart earlier, from
FY26, which is as we expected (see here) but earlier than consensus and Andrew Coombs, CFAAC
should be well received. We have a Buy rating and Natwest is one of our +44-20-7986-4053
top-picks. andrew.coombs@citi.com
Canberk Benning
2026 Targets Updated For Evelyn — NatWest has updated FY26 guidance, but +44-20-7986-1046
seemingly only for the additional Evelyn contribution, rather than any underlying canberk.benning@citi.com
improvement. Consequently the revenue guidance is for slightly less than we and
Saifur Rahmanconsensus assumes, albeit we expect this is conservative. Updated targets are
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