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Proximus(比利时电信集团)
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J P M O R G A N
Europe Equity Research
31 July 2026
Proximus
Overweight
PROX.BR, PROX BB
Price (30 Jul 26):€6.25
2% revenue beat (mainly global). EBITDA a touch
ahead. FCF light (capex phasing)
Price Target (Dec-27):€10.90
Our Take: (1) Results: Revenues €1,530m are 2.2% (€33m) ahead of company
consensus. Domestic service revenues €945m are -0.2% (€2m) light and Global
€353m is 7.0% (€23m) ahead. EBITDA €470m is 0.4% (€2m) ahead, with
Domestic €441m 0.9% (€4m) ahead and Global €29m +3.6% (€1m) ahead (the
slight inconsistency between the divisional and group EBITDA beats is because we
use median consensus). EPS €48c (cons €24c) with the large beat reflecting
reported to underlying EBITDA bridge items. Organic FCF -€43m (cons -€17m).
KPIs are mixed, (2) 2026 guide: Unchanged with the exception of a narrowing of
the Global EBITDA range from €100-130m to €110-120m (cons €116m).
European Telecommunication
Services
Specialist Sales contact details:
Noteworthy Areas: Underlying revenues of €1,530m are 2.2% (+€33m)
ahead of company-provided consensus, -0.1% y/y (Q1 -6.2%). In the mix,
underlying domestic service revenues of €945m are 0.2% below (-€2m) and
Global €353m 7.0% ahead (+€23m). Underlying domestic service revenue flat
y/y (Q1 +0.1%), while Global -3.8% y/y (Q1 -18.8%). Underlying group
EBITDA €470m is 0.4% ahead (€2m) -3.1% y/y (Q1 -1.9%), with Domestic
EBITDA €441m 0.9% ahead (+€4m) and Global EBITDA €29m +3.6% ahead
(+€1m). Accrued Capex €325m +13.6% (+€39m) ahead, and Organic FCF €43m (cons -€17m). Fiber build +88k premises (Q1 +61k), taking its fibre
footprint to 2,753m homes. KPIs are mixed, with convergent adds +12k (cons
+10k), broadband net adds +8k (cons +7k), TV -6k, postpaid +25k (cons +20k)
and fixed voice -42k (cons -35k).
Akhil Dattani AC
(44-20) 7134-4725
J.P. Morgan Securities plc
Ankur Baheti, CFA
(91-86) 5796-8820
J.P. Morgan India Private Limited
Scott Silver - Specialist Sales European TMT
(44-20) 7134-0412
Guidance: Unchanged with the exception of a narrowing of the Global
EBITDA range from €100-130m to €110-120m (cons €116m). (1) Domestic
service revenues expected to be “broadly stable” in 2026 on LFL basis i.e.
…
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