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ABS Alert: Under the hood
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ABS Alert: Under the hood
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ABS Alert
Under the hood
24 July 2026Weakness continues but stabilization is possible
We expect somewhat softer credit performance across most consumer debt and Securitized Products Strategy
consumer-related ABS, with increasing prospects for stabilization as the year United States
progresses. Chris Flanagan
FI/MBS/CLO Strategist
BofASModestly higher delinquencies +1 646 855 6119
Based on our asset level database for retail auto loan ABS, regardless of credit score or christopher.flanagan@bofa.com
income level, 30+ days delinquency (DQ) rates have trended higher from the lows seen in Theresa O'Neill
early to mid-2021. Meanwhile, the YoY rates of deterioration (as measured by YoY ABSBofASStrategist
changes in DQ rates) are below peak levels but have recently trended up. +1 646 855 9285
theresa.oneill@bofa.com
Alvin FungPerformance trends by credit score and income buckets ABS Strategist
Our asset level database for retail auto loan ABS shows lower credit score buckets have BofAS
weaker credit performance than higher credit score buckets. However, the pace of +1 646 855-9091 alvin.fung@bofa.com
deterioration has varied across credit buckets over time. For instance, after compressing
to a trough in 3Q23, dispersion across credit score buckets began to widen before
subsequently tightening again. Over the past year, the dispersion has increased but See Exhibit 32 on page 12 for commonly used
remains relatively tight. Currently, the rate of deterioration is highest for nonprime (3- acronyms
month average of 12%) and lowest for superprime (8%%). Meanwhile, the lower income
Don’t miss these reportstercile has the highest delinquency rate but the higher income tercile has the highest
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