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Our 2Q earnings preview for BBIO, CYTK, MDGL, KURA, SNDX, LGND, and TVTX
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Our 2Q earnings preview for BBIO, CYTK, MDGL, KURA, SNDX, LGND, and TVTX
LGND: 2Q positioned well for upside with XOMA updates similarly in focus
While royalty revenue should take center stage, we expect considerable discussion
around the XOMA acquisition (completed July 14), including the new catalyst calendar,
integration insights, and, critically, updated long-term growth targets in what should be
a busy 2Q. From a top-line perspective, we are bullish following 1Q’s miss, much of
which was driven by seasonal headwinds, particularly for Ohtuvayre (as well as Filspari’s
extended PDUFA) rather than any underlying weakness (see our 1Q LGND takes). Given
the potential for pull-through demand alongside continued favorable growth trends, we
are above for 2Q ($53M vs. VA cons. $49M). Shifting to guidance, while management
updated its FY26 outlook during 1Q, it refrained from revising its five-year growth target
(2025–2030 royalty receipts CAGR of +23%). Although an update could wait until this
year’s Investor Day (Dec 8th), XOMA’s close could provide an opportunity to raise
numbers. Beyond that, we look for insights into how management intends to deploy
capital from its recent $700M raise, whether through further royalty acquisitions,
increased platform investment, or share repurchases to manage dilution and support
longer-term EPS growth (see our deal takes). Click here to see our updates from earlier
this month. Maintain Buy, $388 PO.
TVTX: Initial FSGS commercial trends likely to dominate the discussion
Following Filspari’s April approval in FSGS (see our FSGS approval takes), focus has
shifted to commercial execution. Admittedly, visibility may be limited on the 2Q call,
especially with 1) the launch still early and management guiding toward gradual uptake
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